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What the Dems have going against them now (Public Board)

by Cornpop Sutton ⌂, A bad bad dude who makes good shine., Sunday, August 18, 2024, 13:18 (343 days ago)
edited by Cornpop Sutton, Sunday, August 18, 2024, 14:04

We've all assessed the built in incumbent advantage that Democrats enjoy right up to the POTUS (Harris is almost an incumbent, her title would change.) We've covered the 100% media bias, constant lawfare and harassment, etc.

I want to assess a few strong liabilities that the Harris campaign has for the election that don't get discussed together in one place very often.

- Fake and bribed rally turnout: Harris's vaunted rallies usually bring in attendees with free concerts and food such as pizza. When the concerts end or the food is finished you see people wandering away. As a bonus her attendees leave huge messes of trash on the ground (MAGA rallies are usually tidy after everyone leaves and those people use trash barrels.)

- Unconvicted low information super low quality "fans" who barely fog a glass: Pro-Harris passers by that get interviewed by Youtubers (mainstream news will curate only the best sounding) all tend to sound like idiots with no actual passion or conviction. Most of them literally sound like they have no idea what a president should actually do, they get confused when asked about policy, they can't answer basic questions (even with scripted results) about Harris's past actions, good or bad. I see most of this bottom barrel type forgetting to vote.

- Baked polling: One poll, Rasmussen, seems to try to be as honest as possible. The rest all seem to be massaged and false data favoring a Harris win. Rasmussen has better Trump numbers in all states than 2016 and 2020.

- The mainstream has nothing to work with: Harris's speeches and statements are so empty with such little content that the evening news can't even piece together 30 sec of her talking to broadcast. And Walz has absolutely nothing coherent to say.

- The mainstream is challenging her: her policies, her comments, her lack of transparency, her lack of information beyond campaign blather. They never went after Biden like this.

- Completely incoherent messsaging across the board, especially about grass roots economic factors. She wants a $25K first time home buyer grant. She wants no taxes for waiter tips (even the left says Trump said that first.) She'll probably propose free CBD gummies and snowcones because they help marginal communities.

- Threats of a draft: IMO one event that will definitely tear the country apart is a draft. We barely tolerated the draft for the unpopular war in Vietnam in the 60s and patriotism and sense of civic responsibility was still near an all time high. A draft conducted today with the target of low energy, disengaged, physically unfit, undisciplined and lazy 18 to 30 year olds who hate their own country will cause BLM level rioting. Even Democrats will be like "yay! Nuclear war! But goddamnit hands off my Timmy! Other people do wars. That's what we pay taxes for." I'm thinking illegals may wind up getting conscripted to be soldiers because they will be physically fitter and more desperate to get ahead.

- Attention exhaustion: I mean, yeah there is ad after paid ad for Side Piece Cumalot and there is constant scripted media fawning. She is 100% in the center of the news cycle. it HAS to even bore normies who are the target. So IMO the messaging will eventually not be absorbed.

- Absolutely no grass roots support unless someone is getting paid.

- Trump radiates pleasantness and openness: Trump has moved beyond his outlaw image and has cultivated an inclusive, non threatening pro civic style. He trash talks and he has his biggest deportation ever thing but he's not gratuitously insulting so much as in 2016 and 2020. He's learned better political image tactics.


Trump doesn't have a lock. But this looks much better for Trump when you consider every single action Harris is taking. Harris is absolutely destroying the Democratic party. Love it.


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