Survivor Insider Trading (Public Board)
For some bizarre reason, Kalshi lets you know bet on who's going to be eliminated from Survivor. That's completely nuts. There are a couple hundred people involved with the show, and all of them know the elimination order. It would be traceable if someone involved with the show bet themselves, but they could leak it to a friend.
There was a leaked elimination list. As expected, the people on the elimination list were trading at 95%-98%. The leaked elimination list was followed for the first few episodes.
For Wednesday's episode, the leaked elimination list was wrong! Gullible people were betting on the leaked elimination list, and someone who knew the truth made a fortune! Look at the chart for Christian (who was the leaked answer) and Dee (who was actually eliminated)!